Fiorentina 1-2 Napoli - Serie A - October 3, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
18.88%	21.51%	59.61%

Both teams to score 54.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.14%

42.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.74%

65.27%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57%

36.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79%

73.21%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86%

14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.47%

41.53%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 18.88%

Napoli 59.6%

Draw 21.51%

Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 5.15% 2-1 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 2.6% 3-1 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.88%	1-1 @ 10.12% 0-0 @ 5.1% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.51%	0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.86% 1-3 @ 6.52% 0-3 @ 6.46% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 3.21% 0-4 @ 3.18% 2-4 @ 1.62% 1-5 @ 1.26% 0-5 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.6%

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	34	26	5	3	70	23	47	83
2	Juventus	34	20	6	8	52	28	24	66
3	Lazio	34	19	7	8	52	26	26	64
4	Inter Milan	34	20	3	11	62	35	27	63
5	AC Milan	34	17	10	7	55	39	16	61
6	Atalanta BC Atalanta	34	17	7	10	56	41	15	58
7	Roma	34	17	7	10	45	33	12	58
8	Fiorentina	34	12	10	12	45	40	5	46
9	Monza	34	12	10	12	42	45	-3	46
10	Torino	34	12	10	12	36	39	-3	46
11	Bologna	33	12	9	12	42	43	-1	45
12	Udinese	33	10	13	10	43	41	2	43
13	Sassuolo Sassuolo	33	12	7	14	40	49	-9	43
14	Salernitana	33	7	14	12	41	54	-13	35
15	Empoli	33	8	11	14	29	43	-14	35
16	Lecce	33	7	10	16	28	40	-12	31
17	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	33	6	9	18	27	51	-24	27
18	Spezia Spezia	34	5	12	17	28	56	-28	27
19	Cremonese	34	4	12	18	31	59	-28	24
20	Sampdoria	33	3	8	22	20	59	-39	17

Data Analysis

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