Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
