We said: Cagliari 2-2 Torino
Cagliari's position in the table is slightly surprisingly considering that they have two forwards with 11 league goals between them this season. We are expecting the hosts to net a couple more on Monday, but they have conceded too many goals this term, and Torino could net two of their own in an entertaining draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Torino had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
