Further limited by absences this week, Genoa only score at a rate of less than a goal per game, so make ideal opponents for an Atalanta side trying to regain their ebbing confidence.
Not only should La Dea end their visitors' streak of successive draws, they will also prolong the Grifone's winless run still further - in the process, keeping themselves in touch with the top four.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 85.63%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 4.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 4-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
