Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.5%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
