Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
