SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Rostov | 29 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 29 | -9 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 29 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochi | 29 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 16 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
32.62% ( 0.6) | 26.02% ( 0.03) | 41.36% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( 0.06) | 50.83% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( 0.05) | 72.72% ( -0.05) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.43) | 29.34% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.68% ( 0.52) | 65.32% ( -0.52) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.29) | 24.31% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.31% ( -0.42) | 58.69% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.62% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 65 | 13 | 52 | 61 |
| 2 | RostovRostov | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 49 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 48 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Dynamo Moscow | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Sochi | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 34 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 32 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 25 |
| 13 | Fakel | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 58 | -34 | 17 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 49 | -29 | 13 |
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