Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
44.39% ( -0.34) | 25.1% ( 0.03) | 30.5% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.32% ( 0.01) | 47.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( 0.01) | 69.87% ( -0.01) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( -0.15) | 21.49% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.47% ( -0.23) | 54.53% ( 0.22) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.82% ( 0.21) | 29.18% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.88% ( 0.26) | 65.12% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 53 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
9 | Casa Pia | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 41 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
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