Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
53.39% ( -0.77) | 24.23% ( 0.43) | 22.38% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% ( -1.41) | 50.01% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( -1.27) | 71.99% ( 1.27) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% ( -0.82) | 18.67% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50% ( -1.4) | 50% ( 1.4) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( -0.47) | 36.97% ( 0.46) |