Aug 15, 2022 at 3.30pm UK at Estádio dos Barreiros
Maritimo
1 - 2
Chaves
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rafael Brito Teixeira (70'),
Bachi (75')
Martins Sousa (40')
We said: Maritimo 2-1 Chaves
While Chaves will look to get their top-flight campaign up and running, next up is a superior and more experienced Maritimo side who have won their last three home games in all competitions. With that said, we predict a cagey contest with the hosts coming away with a slender victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Maritimo | Draw | Chaves |
46.86% ( -0.02) | 27.9% ( 0.01) | 25.24% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.93% ( -0.02) |
| 38.92% ( -0.03) | 61.08% ( 0.03) |
| 18.94% ( -0.02) | 81.06% ( 0.02) |
| 73.83% ( -0.03) | 26.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.75% ( -0.03) | 61.25% ( 0.04) |
| 59.49% ( -0.01) | 40.51% ( 0.01) |
