MX23RW : Wednesday, August 10 12:01:43
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Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Spurs
4 - 1
Southampton
Sessegnon (21'), Dier (31'), Salisu (61' og.), Kulusevski (63')
Sessegnon (24'), Bentancur (75'), Bissouma (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Southampton

This is a tough opener for Southampton, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a defeat for the Saints. Tottenham were strong towards the end of last season and look in good shape for the 2022-23 campaign, so we can only see a comfortable home victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawSouthampton
62.46% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 20.37% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 17.17% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.22% (0.21 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.49% (0.252 0.25)40.51% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.11% (0.258 0.26)62.89% (-0.261 -0.26)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.58% (0.082999999999998 0.08)12.42% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.68% (0.173 0.17)38.32% (-0.175 -0.18)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (0.179 0.18)36.95% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (0.179 0.18)73.73% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 62.46%
    Southampton 17.17%
    Draw 20.37%
Tottenham HotspurDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 9.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.46%
1-1 @ 9.53% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.37%
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 17.17%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Roma
Saturday, July 30 at 7.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Spurs
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, July 16 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Spurs 6-3 K-League XI
Wednesday, July 13 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Burnley
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Monaco
Wednesday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Southampton
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 0-0 Southampton
Monday, July 18 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, July 16 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
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