MX23RW : Saturday, April 15 19:41:26
SM
West Ham vs. Arsenal: 17 hrs 18 mins
Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK at Etihad Stadium
Man City
6 - 3
Leicester
De Bruyne (5'), Mahrez (14' pen.), Gundogan (21'), Sterling (25' pen., 87'), Laporte (69')
Fernandinho (90+1')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Maddison (55'), Lookman (59'), Iheanacho (65')
Vestergaard (45'), Maddison (75')

We said: Manchester City 2-0 Leicester City

After putting seven past Leeds and netting four versus Newcastle, there is no reason to expect City to slow down heading in to 2022, and the home side can pick up three points against hit-and-miss opponents even if they are not at their free-flowing best. Leicester's troubles will go on, as even a vast improvement in James Maddison's performances of late cannot help them match a multi-talented side on top form - particularly given their defensive difficulties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawLeicester City
71.78%15.65%12.57%
Both teams to score 61.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.54%27.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.93%48.07%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.26%6.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.08%24.93%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65%34.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94%71.06%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 71.78%
    Leicester City 12.57%
    Draw 15.65%
Manchester CityDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 8.09%
3-0 @ 7.58%
1-0 @ 6.25%
4-1 @ 5.46%
4-0 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 4.32%
5-1 @ 2.95%
4-2 @ 2.92%
5-0 @ 2.76%
5-2 @ 1.57%
6-1 @ 1.32%
6-0 @ 1.24%
4-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 71.78%
1-1 @ 6.67%
2-2 @ 4.81%
0-0 @ 2.32%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.65%
1-2 @ 3.57%
0-1 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-2 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 12.57%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal30234372294373
2Manchester CityMan City30224478285070
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle301511448242456
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd2917574437756
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs311651057451253
6Aston Villa31155114440450
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29147854371749
8Liverpool29128950351544
9Brentford31101384742543
10Fulham30126124241142
11Chelsea31109123033-339
12Crystal Palace3199133140-936
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3197152642-1634
14Bournemouth3196163159-2833
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2986152739-1230
16Leeds UnitedLeeds3078153954-1529
17Everton3169162446-2227
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3069152454-3027
19Leicester CityLeicester3174204155-1425
20Southampton3165202453-2923
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