MX23RW : Thursday, January 5 19:47:10
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
50.26%23.95%25.78%
Both teams to score 55.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35%45.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.03%67.97%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78%18.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77%49.23%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39%31.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99%68.01%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 50.26%
    Chelsea 25.78%
    Draw 23.95%
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.26%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 6.63%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 25.78%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal17142140142644
2Manchester CityMan City16113244162836
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1898132112135
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd1711242720735
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs18103537251233
6Liverpool1784534221228
7Fulham188463027328
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton178363225727
9Brentford186843028226
10Chelsea167452018225
11Aston Villa186482026-622
12Crystal Palace176471725-822
13Leicester CityLeicester1852112631-517
14Leeds UnitedLeeds174582531-617
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest184591334-2117
16Bournemouth1844101839-2116
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham1843111524-915
18Everton183691424-1015
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1835101127-1614
20Southampton1833121533-1812
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