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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Etihad Stadium
BL
Man City
2 - 0
Brentford
Mahrez (40' pen.), De Bruyne (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

We said: Manchester City 3-0 Brentford

From the highs of beating Arsenal on the opening day to the current predicament they find themselves in, Brentford may start to look over their shoulder if this game pans out as expected. The Bees just cannot shut up shop away from home and are visiting a Man City side in imperious form as they march towards the title, so another straightforward success surely awaits the champions in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 85.57%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 4.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.59%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBrentford
85.57%9.79%4.65%
Both teams to score 45.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.09%26.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.61%47.4%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.72%4.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.2%17.81%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.84%52.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.89%86.11%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 85.56%
    Brentford 4.65%
    Draw 9.79%
Manchester CityDrawBrentford
3-0 @ 11.66%
2-0 @ 11.1%
4-0 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 7.59%
2-1 @ 7.23%
1-0 @ 7.05%
4-1 @ 5.98%
5-0 @ 5.79%
5-1 @ 3.77%
6-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.47%
6-1 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.95%
7-0 @ 1.37%
5-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 85.56%
1-1 @ 4.59%
2-2 @ 2.35%
0-0 @ 2.24%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 9.79%
1-2 @ 1.49%
0-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 4.65%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City37285494326289
2Arsenal37256683434081
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd37226956421472
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371913567323570
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371881171512062
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea371110163746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham37117194153-1240
15Bournemouth37116203770-3339
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leicester CityLeicester3787224967-1831
19Leeds UnitedLeeds37710204774-2731
RSouthampton3766253269-3724
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