SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 80.71%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 6.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.88%) and 1-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
80.71% ( -0.11) | 13.03% ( 0.07) | 6.26% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.57% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.39% ( -0.17) | 36.61% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.24% ( -0.18) | 58.76% ( 0.19) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.97% ( -0.06) | 7.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.31% ( -0.16) | 25.7% ( 0.16) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.79% ( 0.01) | 54.22% ( -0) |
