Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
