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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
Anfield
CP
Liverpool
3 - 0
Crystal Palace
Mane (43'), Salah (78'), Keita (89')
Henderson (40'), Tsimikas (75'), Salah (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ward (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawCrystal Palace
68.38%19.68%11.93%
Both teams to score 44.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56%48.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42%70.58%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88%13.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.22%39.77%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.69%49.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.83%84.17%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 68.38%
    Crystal Palace 11.93%
    Draw 19.68%
LiverpoolDrawCrystal Palace
2-0 @ 13.34%
1-0 @ 13.14%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 9.03%
3-1 @ 6.39%
4-0 @ 4.59%
4-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 68.38%
1-1 @ 9.29%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.68%
0-1 @ 4.58%
1-2 @ 3.29%
0-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 11.93%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16114136152137
2Arsenal16113233151836
3Aston Villa16112335201535
4Manchester CityMan City1593336171930
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs158342922727
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd169071821-327
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1582532171526
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton167543328526
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham157352625124
10Chelsea155462624219
11Brentford165472322119
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves165472126-519
13Bournemouth165472130-919
14Fulham155372126-518
15Crystal Palace164481523-816
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest163581728-1114
17Everton156271820-210
18Luton TownLuton1523101630-149
19Burnley1622121634-188
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1622121241-298
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