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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Selhurst Park
LL
Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Liverpool
Edouard (55')
Gallagher (49'), Hughes (61'), Schlupp (82'), Ward (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
van Dijk (8'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (32'), Fabinho (89' pen.)
Firmino (81')

We said: Crystal Palace 1-3 Liverpool

The travelling fans cannot expect to witness their side storm to another seven-goal romping at Selhurst Park, and Palace need no lessons in finding the back of the net in front of the home faithful. However, Liverpool have now proved that their goalscoring touch without Salah and Mane remains well and truly alive, so we are backing the Reds to prevail with minimal difficulty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 2-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawLiverpool
16.9%19.9%63.2%
Both teams to score 56.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.18%38.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.87%61.13%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76%36.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97%73.02%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3%11.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.2%36.8%
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 16.9%
    Liverpool 63.2%
    Draw 19.9%
Crystal PalaceDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 4.69%
1-0 @ 4.3%
2-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 16.9%
1-1 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 5.03%
0-0 @ 4.24%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.9%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.76%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-3 @ 7.09%
0-3 @ 6.98%
1-4 @ 3.8%
0-4 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 3.6%
2-4 @ 1.93%
1-5 @ 1.63%
0-5 @ 1.61%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 63.2%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16114136152137
2Arsenal15113133141936
3Aston Villa15102334201432
4Manchester CityMan City1593336171930
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs158342922727
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd159061818027
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1582532171526
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton157443227525
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham157352625124
10Chelsea155462624219
11Brentford155462321219
12Fulham155372126-518
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves155372025-518
14Crystal Palace164481523-816
15Bournemouth154471830-1216
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest153481627-1113
17Everton156271820-210
18Luton TownLuton1523101630-149
19Burnley1521121533-187
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1512121141-305
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