End-of-season encounters when neither club has a great deal to fight for can be particularly unpredictable, but the form book points towards a Brentford win in this one - so long as they can prove that Monday's defeat to Manchester United was merely a blip.
Southampton have been shipping a lot of goals lately, and with the likes of Eriksen and Toney in Brentford's ranks, we believe that could be enough for the hosts to come away with all three points this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
