SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Liverpool |
13.71% ( -0.06) | 17.71% ( 0) | 68.58% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.91% ( -0.16) | 35.09% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.91% ( -0.18) | 57.1% ( 0.18) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.03% ( -0.19) | 37.97% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.26% ( -0.19) | 74.74% ( 0.19) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.7% ( -0.03) | 9.31% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.6% ( -0.07) | 31.41% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 13.71% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.71% | 0-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 7.89% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.53% Total : 68.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 69 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 66 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 58 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 66 | 62 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 56 |
| 10 | Fulham | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 41 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 33 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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