Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 55.26%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 0-1 (7.66%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
