Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Dartford win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
