Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.