Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
