Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.
