SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AFC Telford United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Alfreton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Banbury United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Buxton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Chester FC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chorley | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
37.61% ( 0.3) | 26.81% ( -0.17) | 35.58% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% ( 0.68) | 53.6% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% ( 0.57) | 75.1% ( -0.57) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( 0.5) | 27.62% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.85% ( 0.64) | 63.15% ( -0.64) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( 0.25) | 28.83% ( -0.25) |
