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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 1 | 34 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 4 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 19 | 48 |
| 2 | Dallas | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 23 | 5 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
41.2% ( -0.14) | 26.1% ( -0.02) | 32.7% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( 0.15) | 51.15% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( 0.13) | 73% ( -0.13) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( -0.01) | 24.53% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.99% ( -0.01) | 59% ( 0) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( 0.18) | 29.45% ( -0.18) |
