Should the highly-influential Paqueta not be passed fit for this clash, Lyon's 100% goalscoring home record could come to an end against a PSG side boasting most of their big names in defence.
Les Parisiens can survive without most of their COVID-affected crop and warmed up for this contest in ideal fashion in the Coupe de France, so we expect the leaders to march to a convincing triumph as the pressure piles on Bosz's shoulders.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
