We said: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
There is not an awful lot between these two teams in terms of quality, and there is no real pressure on either side heading into this match. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away win, but we believe that the two teams will play out a low-scoring draw on Saturday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result |
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
50.47% ( 0) | 23.71% ( -0) | 25.82% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0) |
