Lille's recent form has been impressive, and the champions have only lost one league game at home this season. Lorient do not travel well, meanwhile, so we are expecting Lille to collect all three points on Tuesday evening in relatively routine fashion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 3-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
