SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
54.59% ( -0.02) | 23.66% ( 0) | 21.74% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( -0.02) | 48.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( -0.02) | 70.51% ( 0.01) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( -0.02) | 17.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.81% ( -0.02) | 48.18% ( 0.02) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( -0) | 36.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.55% ( -0) | 73.44% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.59% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 63 |
| 2 | Marseille | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 55 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 51 |
| 4 | Lens | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 51 |
| 5 | Rennes | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 46 |
| 6 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Nice | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Reims | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 40 |
| 9 | Lorient | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Lyon | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 39 |
| 11 | Clermont | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Brest | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
| 19 | Troyes | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 20 |
| 20 | Angers | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 10 |
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