SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Club Leon | 8 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | Atlas | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Pumas | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Juarez | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | CD Guadalajara | 8 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Juarez |
56.12% ( -0.04) | 25.32% ( 0.03) | 18.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.92% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( -0.09) | 58.27% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( -0.07) | 78.9% ( 0.06) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( -0.05) | 20.81% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.53% ( -0.08) | 53.47% ( 0.08) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.19% ( -0.04) | 45.8% ( 0.04) |
