SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Mansfield Town | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Swindon Town | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 24 | Hartlepool United | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Salford City | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Barrow | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City |
39.54% ( -1.3) | 26.92% ( 0.31) | 33.54% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.71% ( -1.03) | 54.29% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% ( -0.86) | 75.68% ( 0.86) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -1.18) | 26.85% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.84% ( -1.57) | 62.16% ( 1.57) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% ( 0.14) | 30.46% ( -0.14) |
