Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
