Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
