Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.