SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Mansfield Town | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Swindon Town | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 24 | Hartlepool United | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
35.51% ( -0.03) | 28.23% ( 0) | 36.26% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.11% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.91% ( -0.01) | 59.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.46% ( -0.01) | 79.54% ( 0.01) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( -0.02) | 31.6% ( 0.03) |
