Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.