MX23RW : Saturday, March 11 20:34:15
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Fulham vs. Arsenal: 17 hrs 25 mins

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Given their respective recent form, this contest is too close to call. While both teams recognise the benefits which come with a win, defeat would leave them off the pace, leading us to predict a competitive draw on the South coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawSheffield Wednesday
43.24%26.81%29.94%
Both teams to score 49.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08%54.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8%76.2%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82%25.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09%59.9%
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72%33.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1%69.89%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 43.24%
    Sheffield Wednesday 29.94%
    Draw 26.81%
PortsmouthDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.24%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.22%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.94%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds34238361223977
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36228663412274
3Ipswich TownIpswich362012470313972
4Barnsley34206855292666
5Derby CountyDerby361810859352464
6Bolton WanderersBolton371891051302163
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe351761248341457
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury36167134739855
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough351731555451054
10Portsmouth351312104641551
11Exeter CityExeter351210134745246
12Lincoln CityLincoln3591883335-245
13Bristol Rovers35129145056-645
14Port Vale36128163650-1444
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood361013133738-143
16Charlton AthleticCharlton351012134647-142
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham36117182946-1740
18Burton Albion34108164263-2138
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3699183848-1036
20Accrington StanleyAccrington34811152952-2335
21Morecambe36712173557-2233
22MK Dons3696213254-2233
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3686222757-3030
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3658232869-4123
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