SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Shelbourne |
61.74% ( -1.29) | 23.83% ( 0.76) | 14.43% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 39.2% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.13% ( -1.7) | 58.87% ( 1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.63% ( -1.33) | 79.37% ( 1.33) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( -1.1) | 18.87% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.66% ( -1.87) | 50.33% ( 1.87) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.31% ( -0.22) | 51.68% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.2% ( -0.15) | 85.79% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 16.26% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.74% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.61)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.33% Total : 14.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bohemians | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Derry CityDerry | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Sligo RoversSligo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | DundalkDundalk | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Cork City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 5 |
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