Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
