We said: Sevilla 2-1 Barcelona
While both managers will consider changes given the quick turnaround, we still feel that the end result will be the same. Barcelona should be competitive in a game which they will feel they need to win, but we can only back Sevilla to edge a close fixture.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
