MX23RW : Sunday, February 26 00:44:24
SM
EFL Cup final: 15 hrs 45 mins
Nov 21, 2021 at 8pm UK at Estadio Anoeta
Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Valencia

Guevara (50'), Rico (87'), Turrientes (90+2'), Gorosabel (90+6')
Elustondo (76')
FT

Gaya (56'), Foulquier (70'), Wass (76'), Musah (84'), Koindredi (87'), Costa (90'), Alderete (90+4')
Real Sociedad will be looking to continue their excellent start to the 2021-22 La Liga season when they welcome Valencia to Anoeta Stadium on Sunday night. The Basque outfit are currently top of the table, one point clear of second-placed Real Madrid, while Valencia, who played out a six-goal thriller with Atletico Madrid last time out, occupy 10th position.

Match preview

Real Sociedad have been the standout team in La Liga this season, winning eight, drawing four and losing one of their 13 matches to collect 28 points, which has left them at the top of the table, one point clear of second-placed Real Madrid, who have a game in hand on the leaders. The Basque outfit are also going well in the Europa League this season, picking up six points from four matches in Group B, which has left them in second spot, just two points behind leaders Monaco. Imanol Alguacil's side, who have had a number of injury problems this season, entered the international break off the back of a 2-0 victory at Osasuna, with Mikel Merino and Adnan Januzaj on the scoresheet. The White and Blues, who have a huge Europa League game away to Monaco next Thursday, finished second in La Liga in 2002-03, but they have not made the top four since 2012-13 and will certainly be eyeing a Champions League finish in Spain's top flight this term. Real Sociedad have only won one of their last eight La Liga matches against Valencia, though, and suffered a 1-0 defeat in the corresponding game during the 2020-21 season. Valencia, meanwhile, played out a 3-3 draw with Atletico before the international break; Los Che were incredibly 3-1 behind entering second-half stoppage time but managed to secure a share of the spoils courtesy of a late double from substitute Hugo Duro. Jose Bordalas's side have won four, down five and lost four of their 13 league matches this season to collect 17 points, which has left them in 10th spot in the table, level on points with Barcelona. Valencia have not had any trouble finding the back of the net this season, scoring 21 times in their 13 La Liga matches, which is the joint-second best record behind Real Madrid (28). However, Los Che have conceded 20 times, which is the second-worst record behind Levante (25), so it is not difficult to see where the team's problems have come from this term. Valencia picked up four points from their two home games before the international break against Villarreal and Atletico but were on the end of a 4-1 defeat to Real Betis in their last away fixture on October 27.
Real Sociedad La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
Real Sociedad form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
Valencia La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Team News

Real Sociedad will again be without the services of Igor Zubeldia due to a muscular problem, while Jon Guridi, Nacho Monreal and Asier Illarramendi remain doubts. Mikel Oyarzabal is fit after a spell on the sidelines, though, and the Spain international is expected to start in a front three alongside Januzaj and Alexander Isak. There are not expected to be any surprises in the middle of the park, meanwhile, with David Silva and Mikel Merino again set to be joined by Martin Zubimendi. As for Valencia, head coach Bordalas will find it difficult to leave Duro out of the starting XI after the Spaniard scored twice off the bench against Atletico. Gabriel Paulista is still out with a hamstring problem, while Hugo Guillamon is suspended due to the booking that he picked up against Atletico, so Uros Racic should retain his spot in central midfield. There could be a change to a 4-4-2 formation for this match, with Maxi Gomez, who has missed his side's last three games with a muscular issue, joining Goncalo Guedes in a front two. Real Sociedad possible starting lineup: Remiro; Zaldua, Elustondo, Le Normand, Rico; D Silva, Merino, Zubimendi; Januzaj, Isak, Oyarzabal Valencia possible starting lineup: Cillessen; Foulquier, Diakhaby, Alderete, Gaya; Soler, Wass, Racic, Duro; Guedes, Gomez

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Valencia

Valencia are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Sunday, and it would not be a surprise to see a draw or indeed an away victory here. Real Sociedad's form this season has been excellent, though, and we are backing the Basque outfit to shade a close contest to put another three points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawValencia
63.27%21.63%15.1%
Both teams to score 46.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25%49.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24%71.75%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89%15.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.34%43.66%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81%45.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92%81.08%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 63.27%
    Valencia 15.1%
    Draw 21.62%
Real SociedadDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.9%
2-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 6.1%
4-0 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.42%
5-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 63.27%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 6.83%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.42%
1-2 @ 4.07%
0-2 @ 2.15%
1-3 @ 1.08%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.1%

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La Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona2219214573859
2Real Madrid23164347182952
3Real Sociedad2313463223943
4Atletico MadridAtletico23126532181442
5Real BetisBetis2312473225740
6Rayo Vallecano239772925434
7Athletic Bilbao229583123832
8Villarreal229492422231
9Mallorca2394102124-331
10Osasuna228681921-230
11GironaGirona227693333027
12Espanyol236982934-527
13Sevilla226792430-625
14CadizCadiz2367101835-1725
15Celta Vigo2266102334-1124
16Real ValladolidValladolid2273121630-1424
17Valencia2365122727023
18Getafe2257101928-922
19Almeria2264122740-1322
20ElcheElche2316161748-319
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