We said: Real Sociedad 1-2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid's impressive winning run will come to an end at some point, but we are expecting Los Blancos to triumph here. Real Sociedad deserve a lot of respect for their form this season, but the Basque side are missing two influential midfielders, and we fancy Los Blancos to edge a close contest on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
