Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
