It is difficult to back Barcelona to win at the moment, especially away from home, but we believe that there will be a reaction from their Champions League exit. Osasuna are more than capable of picking up a positive result here, though, and it is likely to be a very tight match on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
