Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
