Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
