MX23RW : Saturday, June 25 00:50:06
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Jan 23, 2022 at 8pm UK at Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Alaves
0 - 1
Barcelona
FT(HT: 0-0)
de Jong (87')

We said: Alaves 1-2 Barcelona

This is a huge game for Barcelona, and there is no downplaying the importance of the contest for the Catalan outfit, who desperately need a win to boost their confidence. Alaves could make it a very tricky affair, but we are expecting the away side to emerge victorious due to their superior quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
AlavesDrawBarcelona
16.83%22.05%61.12%
Both teams to score 48.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.54%48.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4%70.6%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.87%42.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.46%78.55%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63%15.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.84%44.17%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 16.83%
    Barcelona 61.11%
    Draw 22.05%
AlavesDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 5.6%
2-1 @ 4.53%
2-0 @ 2.42%
3-1 @ 1.31%
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 16.83%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.05%
0-1 @ 12.12%
0-2 @ 11.35%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-3 @ 7.09%
1-3 @ 6.13%
0-4 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.65%
0-5 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.24%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 61.11%

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La Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38268480314986
2Barcelona382110768383073
3Atletico MadridAtletico38218965432271
4Sevilla381816453302370
5Real Betis381981162402265
6Real Sociedad381711104037362
7Villarreal3816111163372659
8Athletic Bilbao381413114336755
9Valencia381115124853-548
10Osasuna381211153751-1447
11Celta Vigo381210164343046
12Rayo Vallecano38119183950-1142
13ElcheElche38119184052-1242
14Espanyol381012164053-1342
15Getafe38815153341-839
16CadizCadiz38815153551-1639
17Mallorca38109193663-2739
RGranada38814164461-1738
RLevante38811195176-2535
RAlavesAlaves3887233165-3431
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