SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
| 15 | Kashiwa Reysol | 38 | -19 | 41 |
| 16 | Shonan Bellmare | 38 | -7 | 37 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 42.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 28.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
42.46% ( -0.13) | 28.89% ( -0.35) | 28.65% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 43.53% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.31% ( 1.28) | 62.69% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.76% ( 0.92) | 82.24% ( -0.92) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.56) | 29.25% ( -0.56) |
