SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 26 | 73 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Yokohama F Marinos | 38 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 26 | 73 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Vissel Kobe win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kashima Antlers | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
52.42% ( 0.43) | 24.68% ( -0.32) | 22.9% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.55% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( 1.15) | 51.28% ( -1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( 1) | 73.11% ( -1) |
| Kashima Antlers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( 0.63) | 19.53% ( -0.63) |
